[From “Denazifying the Ukraine at Pokrovsk”]

According the PBS Frontline report, the Russians are dying like flies and losing equipment at a stupendous rate, yet strangely, they have a lot more volunteers and a lot more equipment than they did a year ago, while the Ukrainian army is shrinking dramatically. Odd that

The Pokrovsk agglomeration (Pokrovsk, Rodynske and Myrnohrad) is a city bigger than Bakhmut — remember how long and terrible the battle for Bakhmut was

But on August the fifth the Pokrovsk agglomeration had been trapped in a cauldron for a while and seemed to be collapsing quite rapidly, looked like it was going to fall in a few days. The Ukrainian battle lines were so thin that Russians could infiltrate through the front line to take out drone operators and artillery inside Pokrovsk, indicating that the Ukrainian front line in Pokrovsk was far more thinly manned than their front line in Bakhmut had been[…]
Well now seems like the Ukrainians are back to where they were five weeks ago. From which I conclude that most of those elite troops hurled at Pokrovsk are now dead or maimed. The layer of busified cannon fodder separating the Nazis from the Russians has for some time been getting thinner and thinner. Poles, Germans, and Moldovans were supposed to show up to protect the Nazis. They failed to do so. At Pokrovsk the layer disappeared

Does this mean the war will end shortly with the Maidan government in Kiev dying in a fire? Probably not. There may not be enough Nazis to defend it, but neither are there enough conscripts to attack it. The logic of war is that Ukrainian army just quietly evaporates, and the Russian army then does what it pleases. Because the decision to expend the Ukrainians was not made in the Ukraine, it is impossible for the Ukraine to agree to peace. The Russians will just have to kill every remaining male. They are most of the way there, but there is still some way to go