3 yeas later the war isn't over, but russia did lose. They ran out of soldiers at home and had to force foreigners to fight for them at gunpoint. So many have died that putin spends his life in underground bunkers, fearing a popular uprising. The russians almost exclusively target civilians now, where the Ukrainians have sent drones to destroy military and energy infrastructure deep in russian territory.
A paper tiger can at least give you a paper cut.